Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.637095 0.713001 0.795349 0.891483 1.000832 1.121575 1.265312
2025-02-16 0.518637 0.622224 0.743671 0.897265 1.087311 1.315995 1.613888
2025-02-23 0.457427 0.574613 0.719294 0.912448 1.165647 1.489127 1.938279
2025-03-02 0.399233 0.519897 0.675059 0.891322 1.188290 1.586622 2.169576
2025-03-09 0.368006 0.494694 0.663581 0.908215 1.258509 1.749681 2.504176
2025-03-16 0.334324 0.461768 0.636995 0.899396 1.289093 1.857223 2.768261
2025-03-23 0.311344 0.440904 0.624200 0.907321 1.342422 2.000539 3.100036
2025-03-30 0.286052 0.414082 0.599835 0.894751 1.362052 2.092693 3.359643
2025-04-06 0.265999 0.393029 0.581731 0.889189 1.390681 2.199964 3.654400
2025-04-13 0.240614 0.361771 0.545406 0.851321 1.362911 2.211425 3.784766
2025-04-20 0.229039 0.350817 0.539399 0.861127 1.413842 2.358227 4.170146
2025-04-27 0.218970 0.341363 0.534812 0.872459 1.467759 2.514620 4.591189
2025-05-04 0.208106 0.330067 0.526736 0.877800 1.512844 2.662077 5.019154
2025-05-11 0.197750 0.318863 0.517961 0.881148 1.554678 2.808130 5.464746
2025-05-18 0.190432 0.312134 0.516069 0.896224 1.619067 3.002838 6.035247
2025-05-25 0.177731 0.295310 0.495502 0.875502 1.613394 3.060093 6.321744
2025-06-01 0.172075 0.290284 0.495168 0.892060 1.681219 3.270838 6.972675
2025-06-08 0.163035 0.278658 0.482168 0.883417 1.697878 3.377792 7.403268
2025-06-15 0.157081 0.272143 0.477928 0.891184 1.748322 3.560834 8.037255
2025-06-22 0.148805 0.260867 0.464102 0.878865 1.755628 3.650917 8.459311
2025-06-29 0.142043 0.251967 0.454124 0.873413 1.776877 3.773902 8.980989
2025-07-06 0.131782 0.235928 0.429561 0.836296 1.726020 3.727627 9.061405
2025-07-13 0.127905 0.231754 0.427609 0.845907 1.779255 3.928440 9.823315